Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 30, 2022 at 10.45am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
46.8%	24.31%	28.89%

Both teams to score 57.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62%

67.38%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64%

19.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86%

51.14%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.85%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 46.8%

Brisbane Roar 28.89%

Draw 24.3%

Adelaide United	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.07% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.31% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.89%