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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2022 at 5.05am UK
AAMI Park
Adelaide United

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Tilio (74'), MacLaren (92')
Nabbout (17'), Leckie (34'), Tilio (105')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clough (48')
Yengi (7'), Juande (80'), Oliveira (116')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
65.89% (2.345 2.35) 19.38% (-0.624 -0.62) 14.72% (-1.722 -1.72)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-2.013 -2.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.608 -0.61)40.79% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83% (-0.626 -0.63)63.17% (0.625 0.63)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (0.458 0.46)11.55% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.97799999999999 0.98)36.49% (-0.98 -0.98)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79% (-2.599 -2.6)40.21% (2.597 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (-2.456 -2.46)76.84% (2.455 2.46)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 65.88%
    Adelaide United 14.72%
    Draw 19.38%
Melbourne CityDrawAdelaide United
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.67 0.67)
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.446 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.616 0.62)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.402 0.4)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.197 -0.2)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.203 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 65.88%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.72%

Head to Head
May 18, 2022 10.05am
Adelaide United
0-0
Melbourne City

Metcalfe (60'), Reis (61'), Leckie (76'), Colakovski (90')
Feb 15, 2022 8.55am
Melbourne City
1-2
Adelaide United
MacLaren (11')
Reis (90+4')
Lopez (20'), Toure (85')
Oliveira (10'), Juande (17'), Mauk (42'), Barr (67')
Jan 15, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
2-2
Melbourne City
Blackwood (60'), Ibusuki (84')
Caletti (12'), Juande (43')
Nabbout (24'), MacLaren (66')
Jamieson (16'), Galloway (35'), Reis (58')
Reis (70')
Nov 27, 2021 8.45am
Adelaide United
2-2
Melbourne City
Mauk (78'), Halloran (90')
Lopez (58'), Cavallo (75')
MacLaren (28'), Nabbout (61')
Jamieson (36'), O'Neill (52'), Nabbout (72'), Metcalfe (89')
May 13, 2021 10.05am
Melbourne City
4-1
Adelaide United
Jamieson (8'), Galloway (45'), MacLaren (72' pen., 82')
Noone (45+2'), Griffiths (45+4')
Halloran (51')
Mauk (23'), Caletti (57'), Halloran (89')
rhs 2.0
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