Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 15, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur2 - 1Brisbane Roar
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 40.74% | 24.74% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 58.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
