Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.