Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.