Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).