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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Feb 24, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
2 - 0
Wellington

Gestede (45+3', 49')
Broxham (34'), Shotton (37'), Markovic (55'), Anderson (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muratovic (18'), McGarry (25'), Fenton (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
37.67%24.51%37.82%
Both teams to score 59.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68%43.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28%65.72%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15%22.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41%56.59%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53%56.48%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 37.67%
    Wellington Phoenix 37.82%
    Draw 24.5%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Victory vs Wellington

Melbourne Victory
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Wellington Phoenix
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2020 5.20am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
3-0
Victory
Davila (3'), Hooper (21'), Ball (55')
Devlin (10'), Rufer (66'), Steinmann (78')

Kirdar (20'), Roux (57'), Nabbout (86')
Dec 14, 2019 6am
Gameweek 10
Victory
0-0
Wellington
Donachie (31'), Basha (34'), Dobras (48'), Nabbout (73'), Toivonen (76'), Broxham (79'), Poulsen (81')
Dobras (60')
Steinmann (32'), Sotirio (74'), Devlin (86')
Nov 10, 2019 5am
Gameweek 5
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Toivonen (66')
Broxham (45'), Athiu (69'), Roux (85')
Davila (5' pen.)
Taylor (20'), Ball (32'), Marinovic (81')
May 3, 2019 10.50am
Eliminators
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Niedermeier (42'), Barbarouses (53'), Toivonen (71')
Krishna (64')
Kopczynski (7'), Williams (41'), Burgess (56'), Rufer (77'), Sheridan (95'), Cacace (97')
Kopczynski (93')
Feb 15, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Krishna (57')
Rufer (51')
Honda (67' pen.)
Barbarouses (32'), Donachie (73'), Roux (79')
rhs 2.0
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