Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.