MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:40:27| >> :60:271:271:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 1
Pakhtakor

Abdurakhmanov (81')
Abdurakhmanov (33'), Gurbanov (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erkinov (90+5')
Azmiddinov (49'), Azmiddinov (50')
Khamrobekov (64')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Pakhtakor 3-0 Ahal
Tuesday, October 24 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pakhtakor 3-0 Ahal
Tuesday, October 24 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
AhalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
12.34% (-1.062 -1.06) 19.19% (-1.023 -1.02) 68.47% (2.089 2.09)
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (1.944 1.94)45.36% (-1.94 -1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (1.83 1.83)67.7% (-1.826 -1.83)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.33% (-0.489 -0.49)46.68% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (-0.377 -0.38)82.24% (0.379 0.38)
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (1.184 1.18)12.18% (-1.181 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.17% (2.436 2.44)37.83% (-2.432 -2.43)
Score Analysis
    Ahal 12.35%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 68.47%
    Draw 19.19%
AhalDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
1-0 @ 4.33% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-1 @ 3.48% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 1.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.35%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.476 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.486 -0.49)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.19%
0-2 @ 12.6% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 8.84% (0.456 0.46)
1-3 @ 6.74% (0.259 0.26)
0-4 @ 4.65% (0.434 0.43)
1-4 @ 3.55% (0.286 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.065 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.96% (0.261 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.49% (0.181 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 68.47%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Pakhtakor
3-0
Ahal
Erkinov (23'), Turgunboev (27', 59')
Kholmatov (84')

Tagayew (21'), Tursunov (31'), Ravshanow (62')
rhs 2.0
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