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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Luton Town

Leeds
3 - 0
Luton

Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Luton Town

Luton Town will certainly be boosted by the weekend's victory and have more quality than their current standing suggests, but they face one of the division's toughest tests on Wednesday. Leeds United have won each of their last five home games, only conceding once along the way, and we back them to come out on top at Elland Road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
76.43% (1.28 1.28) 15.08% (-0.448 -0.45) 8.49% (-0.828 -0.83)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-2.085 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)37.8% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (-0.789 -0.79)60.05% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (0.113 0.11)8.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26% (0.271 0.27)28.74% (-0.266 -0.27)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.82% (-2.332 -2.33)49.19% (2.337 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.92% (-1.712 -1.71)84.09% (1.717 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.42%
    Luton Town 8.49%
    Draw 15.08%
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.56 0.56)
3-0 @ 10.51% (0.523 0.52)
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.397 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.361 0.36)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 76.42%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%

How you voted: Leeds vs Luton

Leeds United
87.3%
Draw
6.9%
Luton Town
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Luton
Kandol (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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