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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Luton Town

Leeds
3 - 0
Luton

Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 1-0 Luton Town

Luton Town will certainly be boosted by the weekend's victory and have more quality than their current standing suggests, but they face one of the division's toughest tests on Wednesday. Leeds United have won each of their last five home games, only conceding once along the way, and we back them to come out on top at Elland Road once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
76.43% (1.28 1.28) 15.08% (-0.448 -0.45) 8.49% (-0.828 -0.83)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-2.085 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)37.8% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.95% (-0.789 -0.79)60.05% (0.79199999999999 0.79)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (0.113 0.11)8.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.26% (0.271 0.27)28.74% (-0.266 -0.27)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.82% (-2.332 -2.33)49.19% (2.337 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.92% (-1.712 -1.71)84.09% (1.717 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 76.42%
    Luton Town 8.49%
    Draw 15.08%
Leeds UnitedDrawLuton Town
2-0 @ 12.61% (0.56 0.56)
3-0 @ 10.51% (0.523 0.52)
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.397 0.4)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.361 0.36)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.13 -0.13)
6-0 @ 1.37% (0.089 0.09)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 76.42%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.54% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%

How you voted: Leeds vs Luton

Leeds United
87.3%
Draw
6.9%
Luton Town
5.9%
102
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Luton
Kandol (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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