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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
50.64% ( 0.11) | 25.08% ( 0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -0.2) | 51.61% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -0.17) | 73.4% ( 0.17) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.61% ( -0.03) | 20.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.19% ( -0.05) | 52.81% ( 0.05) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% ( -0.23) | 36.09% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% ( -0.23) | 72.87% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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