AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena
Al-Hilal3 - 1Sepahan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Raed
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Sepahan 1-3 Al-Hilal
Thursday, February 15 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Thursday, February 15 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Al-Hilal 2-0 Sepahan (Al-Hilal win 5-1 on aggregate)
You can contain them for a little while, but eventually, Al-Hilal tend to break through, and in leg two, the Saudis have the luxury of a two-goal cushion, which could make them dangerous on the counter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Sepahan |
61.92% ( -1.03) | 19.94% ( 0.44) | 18.13% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( -1.03) | 36.77% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( -1.13) | 58.94% ( 1.13) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.57% ( -0.57) | 11.43% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.77% ( -1.26) | 36.22% ( 1.26) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.02) | 33.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.74% ( 0.02) | 70.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Al-Hilal 61.92%
Sepahan 18.13%
Draw 19.94%
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Sepahan |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.53% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.94% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.13% |
How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Sepahan
Al-Hilal
87.5%Draw
6.3%Sepahan
6.3%16
Head to Head
Form Guide
