AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
Sepahan1 - 3Al-Hilal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Sepahan 0-4 Al-Hilal
Even without Neymar, Al-Hilal have plenty of dependable attacking options, and we do not believe the Iranians will be able to contain a side that have blown away most of their opponents throughout the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
15.49% ( 0.07) | 19.41% ( 0.05) | 65.1% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.11) | 39.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.12) | 61.6% ( 0.12) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( 0.02) | 38.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25% ( 0.02) | 75% ( -0.02) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.67% ( -0.07) | 11.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.14) | 35.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Sepahan 15.49%
Al-Hilal 65.1%
Draw 19.41%
| Sepahan | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.41% | 0-2 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.1% |
How you voted: Sepahan vs Al-Hilal
Sepahan
0.0%Draw
3.6%Al-Hilal
96.4%28
Form Guide
