Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.