Pakhtakor

2 - 1

Esteghlal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.