Al-Hilal

2 - 1

Pakhtakor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.