Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pohang Steelers win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pohang Steelers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pohang Steelers would win this match.