Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.