Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Comoros 1-3 Ivory Coast
While Comoros will be looking to stop the rot, they are no match for a star-studded Ivory Coast side who are unbeaten in the AFCON qualifiers since 2020. We predict another one-sided affair with Gasset's side prevailing once again.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 60.57% . A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.82% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.26%) and 1-2 (8.17%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%) , while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (7.05%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
Result Comoros Draw Ivory Coast 13.82% ( -0.06) 25.61% ( 0.15) 60.57% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 34.08% ( -0.42)
34.9% ( -0.5) 65.1% ( 0.49)
16.04% ( -0.35) 83.96% ( 0.35)
43.59% ( -0.4) 56.41% ( 0.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 11.29% ( -0.23) 88.71% ( 0.22)
78.18% ( -0.25) 21.82% ( 0.24)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.96% ( -0.38) 55.03% ( 0.37)
Comoros 13.82%
Ivory Coast 60.56%
Draw 25.6%
Comoros Draw Ivory Coast 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.82% 0-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.22) 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.6% 0-1 @ 18.73% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 14.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.56%
How you voted: Comoros vs Ivory Coast
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rhs 2.0
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