Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Comoros
0 - 2
Ivory Coast

Mohamed (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sangare (36'), Kessie (58')
Gbamin (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

We said: Comoros 1-3 Ivory Coast

While Comoros will be looking to stop the rot, they are no match for a star-studded Ivory Coast side who are unbeaten in the AFCON qualifiers since 2020. We predict another one-sided affair with Gasset's side prevailing once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.26%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Ivory Coast
13.82% ( -0.06)	25.61% ( 0.15)	60.57% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 34.08% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.9% (

-0.5)

65.1% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.04% (

-0.35)

83.96% (

0.35)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.59% (

-0.4)

56.41% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.29% (

-0.23)

88.71% (

0.22)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

-0.25)

21.82% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

-0.38)

55.03% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Comoros 13.82%

Ivory Coast 60.56%

Draw 25.6%

Comoros	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.82%	0-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.22) 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 18.73% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 14.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.56%