Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

Ivory Coast
3 - 1
Comoros

Kouame (29'), Haller (61'), Krasso (89')
Aholou (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Youssouf (90+3')
M'Dahoma (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, January 27 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

We said: Ivory Coast 3-0 Comoros

Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two squads, it is difficult not to see Ivory Coast cruising to a comfortable victory. Buoyed by the support of their home fans, we predict that Gasset's men will come away with all three points in what should be a pulsating contest with plenty of goal-mouth action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Comoros
64.74% ( 0.34)	20.9% ( -0.15)	14.36% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 46.95% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

0.26)

48.21% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

0.24)

70.36% (

-0.24)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.85% (

0.19)

14.15% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19% (

0.37)

41.81% (

-0.37)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.69% (

-0.11)

45.31% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.82% (

-0.09)

81.18% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 64.72%

Comoros 14.36%

Draw 20.9%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 64.72%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.36%