Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 4pm UK

Ghana
1 - 0
Angola

Semenyo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paz (36'), Estrela (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Ghana head into the midweek clash with a star-studded squad capable of comfortably getting the job done. While Angola are no pushovers, the Black Stars should be too difficult to handle and so we see Hughton kicking off his reign at the helm of affairs on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angola had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Angola
55.86% ( 0.08)	25.4% ( -0.05)	18.74% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.68% (

0.14)

58.32% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06% (

0.11)

78.94% (

-0.11)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07% (

0.09)

20.93% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.33% (

0.14)

53.67% (

-0.14)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37% (

0.05)

45.63% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.57% (

0.04)

81.43% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ghana 55.86%

Angola 18.74%

Draw 25.4%

Ghana	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 18.74%