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Ghana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Angola national football team

Ghana
1 - 0
Angola

Semenyo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paz (36'), Estrela (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Ghana 3-0 Angola

Ghana head into the midweek clash with a star-studded squad capable of comfortably getting the job done. While Angola are no pushovers, the Black Stars should be too difficult to handle and so we see Hughton kicking off his reign at the helm of affairs on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angola had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.

Result
GhanaDrawAngola
55.86% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.4% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 18.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.99% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (0.142 0.14)58.32% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (0.111 0.11)78.94% (-0.114 -0.11)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.087000000000003 0.09)20.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (0.138 0.14)53.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.37% (0.052 0.05)45.63% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.57% (0.041999999999998 0.04)81.43% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 55.86%
    Angola 18.74%
    Draw 25.4%
GhanaDrawAngola
1-0 @ 14.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Ghana vs Angola

Ghana
90.2%
Draw
9.8%
Angola
0.0%
82
rhs 2.0
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