MX23RW : Wednesday, December 4 15:20:47| >> :600:1372078:1372078:
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Libya national football team

Rwanda
0 - 1
Libya


Manzi (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al Hadi Saeed (84')
Al Woheshi (61'), Saleh (70'), Al Shareef (90+1'), Al Dawi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Rwanda 1-0 Libya

Rwanda have been solid in the two home matches they have played in the AFCON qualifiers, and we believe that their home form will help them edge what is expected to be a tight affair against a Libyan side fighting to remain in contention for a place at the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.4%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawLibya
56.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.87%16.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 36.22% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)84.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)86.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 56.58%
    Libya 16.53%
    Draw 26.87%
RwandaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 17.92%
2-0 @ 12.94%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.01%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 56.58%
0-0 @ 12.4%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 16.53%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Libya

Rwanda
69.0%
Draw
20.7%
Libya
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Libya
1-1
Rwanda
Al Dawi (16')
Aldeen Al Qulaib (34'), Arteeba (42'), Al Badri (45+4')
Nshutiyamagara (47')
Jan 23, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-1
Libya

Rutanga (51'), Usengimana (66'), Niyonzima (71'), Ndayishimiye (80')
Abushnaf (93')
rhs 2.0
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