MX23RW : Friday, February 7 23:09:39| >> :600:5510182:5510182:
Rwanda national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Nigeria national football team

Rwanda
0 - 0
Nigeria


Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')
FT

Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Rwanda 1-2 Nigeria

Nigeria looked like a solid side again following a change in leadership and the return of key team members – although Rwanda's form makes this a challenging fixture for the visitors, we anticipate that the visitors will ultimately prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.1%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawNigeria
30.9% (-0.1 -0.1) 32% (-0.045999999999996 -0.05) 37.1% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 36.91% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.98% (0.103 0.1)71.02% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.12% (0.064 0.06)87.88% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.97% (0.012 0.01)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (0.156 0.16)36.95% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (0.154 0.15)73.73% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 30.9%
    Nigeria 37.1%
    Draw 31.99%
RwandaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 13.48% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.9%
0-0 @ 15.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.99%
0-1 @ 15.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.1%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Nigeria

Rwanda
15.2%
Draw
18.2%
Nigeria
66.7%
66
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
0-0
Rwanda
Mukunzi (32'), Djihad (93')
rhs 2.0
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