World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Lesotho0 - 1Rwanda
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
We said: Lesotho 1-1 Rwanda
Few would have expected these two teams to be leading the group after three weeks, and a win for either will put them in a very strong position when the competition resumes in March next year. However, with both sides being very evenly matched on paper, we cannot see a clear favourite here and feel that they will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rwanda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Rwanda |
32.66% ( -0.16) | 30.9% ( -0.11) | 36.43% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 39.72% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.3) | 67.89% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.14% ( 0.2) | 85.86% ( -0.2) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.05) | 38.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.05) | 75.05% ( -0.05) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.34) | 35.63% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.35) | 72.4% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Lesotho 32.66%
Rwanda 36.42%
Draw 30.89%
| Lesotho | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 32.66% | 0-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.89% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.42% |
How you voted: Lesotho vs Rwanda
Lesotho
50.0%Draw
34.4%Rwanda
15.6%32
