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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Mauritania national football team

Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania

Haidara (2'), Kone (49' pen.)
Bissouma (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abeid (48'), Thiam (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mali and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mali 2-0 Mauritania

 Mali were denied a place in the knockout stages last time out when they played out a draw with Gambia. However, like all good sides do, we are tipping them to bounce back to winning ways against a floundering Mauritania side and qualify for the next phase of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
MaliDrawMauritania
57.56%21.41%21.02%
Both teams to score 58.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.35%61.64%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53%13.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53%40.46%
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77%32.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28%68.71%
Score Analysis
    Mali 57.56%
    Mauritania 21.02%
    Draw 21.41%
MaliDrawMauritania
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 6.6%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.31%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.56%
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.02%

How you voted: Mali vs Mauritania

Mali
86.4%
Draw
8.5%
Mauritania
5.1%
59
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2019 9pm
Group Stage
Mali
4-1
Mauritania
Diaby (37'), Marega (45' pen.), Traore (55', 74')
Djenepo (31'), Fofana (71')
El Hacen (72' pen.)
N'Diaye (19'), Souleymane (79'), Diaw (84')
> Match Report
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