World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Kenya0 - 1Mali
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Mali had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Mali win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Mali |
| 48.11% | 25.89% | 25.99% |
| Both teams to score 50.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
