World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 1pm UK
Zambia4 - 0Mauritania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Mauritania |
| 50.37% | 23.82% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 56.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
