Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 12, 2022 at 1pm UK

Tunisia
0 - 1
Mali

Mathlouthi (22'), Skhiri (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (48' pen.)
Traore (18'), Djenepo (33')
Bilal Toure (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tunisia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Tunisia and Mali head into Wednesday's game as two of the most in-form nations at the tournament and this makes for an exciting and riveting watch. While we expect Magassouba's men to put up a valiant fight, we are tipping the The Eagles of Carthage to snatch an opening-day win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Mali had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Mali win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mali
54.25%	22.85%	22.89%

Both teams to score 56.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44%

43.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05%

65.96%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01%

15.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.7%

45.3%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1%

32.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52%

69.48%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 54.25%

Mali 22.89%

Draw 22.85%

Tunisia	Draw	Mali
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.01% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.85%	1-2 @ 5.96% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.89%