Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.