MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 18:58:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 at 2pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Sirius

Frick (48')
Lagerbielke (45+2'), Boateng (82'), Jalal Abdulai (87'), Henriksson (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Heier (45+2'), Bjarnason (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 3-1 Elfsborg
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 0-1 AIK
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Elfsborg 3-0 Sirius

We expect the league leaders to bounce straight back from last weekend's defeat by making light work of struggling Sirius, who are on course to suffer a fifth loss in six Allsvenskan outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawSirius
65.38% (-0.202 -0.2) 19.43% (-0.267 -0.27) 15.19% (0.476 0.48)
Both teams to score 53.93% (2.174 2.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (2.261 2.26)40% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.63% (2.3 2.3)62.37% (-2.294 -2.29)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (0.61199999999999 0.61)11.47% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.7% (1.301 1.3)36.3% (-1.294 -1.29)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (2.052 2.05)39.09% (-2.046 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (1.872 1.87)75.81% (-1.865 -1.87)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 65.38%
    Sirius 15.19%
    Draw 19.43%
ElfsborgDrawSirius
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.784 -0.78)
3-0 @ 7.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.13% (0.179 0.18)
4-0 @ 4.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.262 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.182 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.483 -0.48)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.43%
1-2 @ 4.28% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.19%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Sirius

Elfsborg
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sirius
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Sirius
3-4
Elfsborg
Bjarnason (32'), Alsanti (45+2'), Heier (55')
Aron Gudjohnsen (18'), Mathisen (52' og.), Cooper Love (87'), Larsson (89')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Elfsborg
3-0
Sirius
Voelkerling-Persson (25' og.), Bernhardsson (45+1'), Aron Gudjohnsen (75')
May 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sirius
2-0
Elfsborg
Kouakou (56'), Bjarnason (63')
Zeidan (64'), Roche (66')

Lagerbielke (57'), Romer (61')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Elfsborg
3-0
Sirius
Aron Gudjohnsen (4', 28'), Larsson (42')
Jarjue (80')

Ortmark (53'), Mathisen (63'), Colley (63')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sirius
0-2
Elfsborg

Hellborg (62')
Ndione (11'), Bernhardsson (81')
Gojani (45'), Strand (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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