Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Malmo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
40.15% ( -0.29) | 24.93% ( 0.02) | 34.91% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -0.05) | 45.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( -0.05) | 67.88% ( 0.04) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -0.16) | 22.59% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.24) | 56.19% ( 0.24) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( 0.13) | 25.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0.18) | 60.18% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Hammarby 40.15%
Malmo 34.91%
Draw 24.93%
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.91% |
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 29
Hammarby
2-2
Malmo
Apr 7, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 2
Malmo
2-0
Hammarby
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Malmo
0-0
Hammarby
