Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.