Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.