MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 09:57:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
2 - 4
Sirius

Steinwender (51'), Thern (64')
Grozdanic (3'), Steinwender (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Walta (10', 84' pen.), Persson (36', 69')
Persson (13'), Olsson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Sirius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 1-0 Varnamo
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-1 Sirius
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-2 Sirius

While both teams have experienced very similar Allsvenskan campaigns thus far, it is Sirius who come into Sunday's meeting with the momentum, and we back them to make it consecutive three-point hauls against a Varnamo side lacking confidence in the midst of another rut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawSirius
41.36% (0.113 0.11) 24.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.138 -0.14)45.82% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (-0.13 -0.13)68.14% (0.13300000000001 0.13)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (-0.143 -0.14)26.22% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.193 -0.19)61.32% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 41.36%
    Sirius 33.71%
    Draw 24.93%
VarnamoDrawSirius
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.71%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Sirius

Varnamo
31.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sirius
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 4
Sirius
0-1
Varnamo

Salech (45+4'), Voelkerling-Persson (74')
Zeljkovic (5')
Larsson (32'), Engvall (45')
Sep 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Varnamo
0-1
Sirius

Larsson (40'), Wenderson (58')
Matthews (90+2')
Karlsson (20'), Mattiasson (21'), Voelkerling-Persson (62'), Stensson (76')
Jun 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sirius
2-0
Varnamo
Bjarnason (31'), Matthews (45+3' pen.)

Eriksson (56'), Hellberg (82')
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 22
Sirius
2-3
Varnamo
Voelkerling-Persson (47'), Matthews (70')
Magashy (37'), Antonsson (42'), Zeljkovic (54')
Apr 11, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-0
Sirius
Tihi (88')
Ssewankambo (6'), Shabani (57'), Sylisufaj (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo29188365244162
2HammarbyHammarby29166748242454
3AIK FotbollAIK29163104140151
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2915594234850
5Mjallby AIF2913884335847
6GAISGAIS29136103433145
7ElfsborgElfsborg29135115244844
8HackenHacken29126115450442
9SiriusSirius29125124644241
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna29810114551-634
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2997133554-1934
12Halmstads BKHalmstad29103163145-1433
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg29710123342-931
14Varnamo2979133040-1030
15KalmarKalmar2976163758-2127
16Vasteras SKVasteras2955192543-1820


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