MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 18:06:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 2
Mjallby AIF

Samuel Kalu (73')
Junior Adjei (27'), Winsth (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brorsson (1'), Bergstrom (64')
Brorsson (45+3'), Gustavsson (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Mjallby AIF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 0-4 Varnamo
Monday, May 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Hacken
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-1 Mjallby AIF

While it is Mjallby who have enjoyed the more impressive start to the Allsvenskan campaign, Varnamo have certainly showed plenty of improvement in recent weeks, and we expect them to make it tough and take a share of the points on home turf on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawMjallby AIF
36.33% (0.204 0.2) 26.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 37.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)74.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.116 0.12)28.05% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.15 0.15)63.71% (-0.152 -0.15)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.126 -0.13)27.65% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.164 -0.16)63.19% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 36.33%
    Mjallby AIF 37.01%
    Draw 26.65%
VarnamoDrawMjallby AIF
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Mjallby AIF

Varnamo
20.0%
Draw
26.7%
Mjallby AIF
53.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mjallby AIF
2-3
Varnamo
Fenger (8'), Baldvin Nokkvason (38')
Petersson (36'), Pettersson (79')
Zeljkovic (17'), Johansson (74' pen.), Engvall (87')
Grozdanic (2'), Eriksson (23')
Grozdanic (41')
Apr 10, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Varnamo
0-1
Mjallby AIF
Brorsson (27')
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 24
Varnamo
2-1
Mjallby AIF
Antonsson (43'), Gracia (89' og.)
May 14, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Mjallby AIF
1-1
Varnamo
Johansson (90+5')
Gracia (42')
Johansson (6')
Netinho (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo25175359194056
2HammarbyHammarby26145741221947
3Djurgardens IFDjurgarden25144739291046
4AIK FotbollAIK2514383735245
5Mjallby AIF2612683833542
6ElfsborgElfsborg25125848351341
7GAISGAIS26124103131040
8SiriusSirius25114104036437
9HackenHacken2510694846236
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna268994347-433
11IFK GoteborgGoteborg2569102837-927
12IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2576123150-1927
13Varnamo2567122737-1025
14Halmstads BKHalmstad2673162644-1824
15KalmarKalmar2564153352-1922
16Vasteras SKVasteras2654172339-1619


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