Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano4 - 3Boca Juniors
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Belgrano
Sunday, October 1 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, October 1 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-1 Boca Juniors (2-4 pen.)
Friday, October 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, October 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Belgrano 1-0 Boca Juniors
Coming off such an emotional high just a few days ago, Boca Juniors could be primed for a letdown in this one against a Belgrano side who have shown tremendous discipline defensively throughout this phase of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.03% ( -0.31) | 30.9% ( -0.06) | 31.07% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 39.45% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
