Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Regatas San Nicolas
Sarmiento1 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Tigre
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Racing
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
29.6% ( -0.36) | 29.9% ( -0.04) | 40.5% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 41.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.5% ( 0.01) | 65.49% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.76% ( 0.01) | 84.23% ( -0.01) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.71% ( -0.28) | 39.29% ( 0.27) |