Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors0 - 0Palmeiras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 23 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Boca Juniors 0-1 Palmeiras
Both sides have been tight defensively in the Copa Libertadores knockout stage, particularly the visitors who are yet to concede in two two-legged ties, and we anticipate another close-fought encounter on Friday with Palmeiras' slightly superior quality possibly inspiring a narrow away win in the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Palmeiras |
34.61% ( -0.02) | 29.16% ( -0.02) | 36.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.07) | 62.39% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0.05) | 82.02% ( -0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.02) | 33.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0.02) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.06) | 32.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.07) | 69.4% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Boca Juniors 34.61%
Palmeiras 36.22%
Draw 29.16%
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.16% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.22% |
How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras
Boca Juniors
24.0%Draw
28.0%Palmeiras
48.0%25
Head to Head
Form Guide
