Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.