Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 30, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente2 - 0Belgrano
Cauteruccio (9' pen., 89' pen.)
Ortiz (79')
Ortiz (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Belgrano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente
Monday, April 24 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 24 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Belgrano |
34.81% ( -0.96) | 30.19% ( 0.01) | 35% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 41.64% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
