Tigre

1 - 0

Sarmiento

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.