Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Oct 19, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Racing4 - 3Defensa
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Racing Club and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Racing
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Rosario
Monday, October 7 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, October 7 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
30
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
60.2% ( 0.46) | 23.31% ( 0.02) | 16.49% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
