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San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
0 - 0
River Plate


Barrios (33'), Perruzzi (37'), Batalla (45+2')
Barrios (70')
FT

Perez (42'), Beltran (45+2'), de la Cruz (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Colon
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 0-1 River Plate

While the hosts' home form has been tremendous, the visitors have scored in every match this season, home and away, and are the leading goalscorers by a fair distance. History shows that this is generally a very close encounter, and we expect nothing less this time. The first goal could be the decider here, and we fancy it will be the visitors that get it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRiver Plate
30.06% (0.195 0.2) 26.64% (0.163 0.16) 43.3% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 50.49% (-0.398 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.56 -0.56)54.2% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-0.468 -0.47)75.61% (0.46799999999999 0.47)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)32.82% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.162 -0.16)69.39% (0.161 0.16)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)24.83% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (-0.6 -0.6)59.43% (0.599 0.6)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 30.06%
    River Plate 43.29%
    Draw 26.63%
San LorenzoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.06%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 43.29%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs River Plate

San Lorenzo
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
River Plate
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
San Lorenzo
0-1
River Plate

Fernandez (45'), Flores (52'), Gordillo (88')
Diaz (37')
Fernandez (44'), Diaz (49'), Gonzalez Pirez (66'), Paradela (90+4')
Oct 18, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
River Plate
3-1
San Lorenzo
Rosane (13'), Peruzzi (36'), Palacios (80')
Apr 25, 2021 10pm
First Phase
River Plate
1-2
San Lorenzo
Fernandez (16'), Elias (52'), Girotti (75')
Palavecino (4'), Romero (30'), Borre (32'), De La Cruz (67'), Peruzzi (81'), Ramirez (82'), Carrascal (82'), Elias (90+6')
Dec 9, 2019 12.45am
Gameweek 16
River Plate
0-1
San Lorenzo

Borre (22'), Suarez (57'), Martinez (74'), Scocco (77')
Palacios (78'), De La Cruz (86')
Gaich (16')
Rodriguez (22'), Coloccini (26'), Herrera (54'), Ramirez (56'), Romero (77'), Pitton (83'), Menossi (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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