We said: San Lorenzo 0-1 River Plate
While the hosts' home form has been tremendous, the visitors have scored in every match this season, home and away, and are the leading goalscorers by a fair distance.
History shows that this is generally a very close encounter, and we expect nothing less this time. The first goal could be the decider here, and we fancy it will be the visitors that get it.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.