Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 18, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate3 - 1San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and San Lorenzo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.69%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 66.84% | 20.78% | 12.37% |
| Both teams to score 42.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
