MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:10:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Rosario

Braida (50')
Perruzzi (18'), Bareiro (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortiz (28'), Mallo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 4-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Rosario Central

All competitions
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Colon
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Rosario Central

 Given San Lorenzo's struggles in front of goal and Rosario's poor away form, we think this will be a low-scoring affair. San Lorenzo are yet to lose at home this season, and their defensive record suggests that they will be able to keep their opponents out and edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
59.29% (6.224 6.22) 25.07% (-2.348 -2.35) 15.63% (-3.877 -3.88)
Both teams to score 38.64% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.9% (2.787 2.79)61.1% (-2.788 -2.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (2.037 2.04)81.07% (-2.038 -2.04)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (3.821 3.82)20.68% (-3.822 -3.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (5.689 5.69)53.27% (-5.692 -5.69)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.71% (-3.258 -3.26)51.29% (3.257 3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-2.281 -2.28)85.53% (2.28 2.28)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 59.29%
    Rosario Central 15.64%
    Draw 25.06%
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 16.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 13.17% (1.54 1.54)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 6.92% (1.463 1.46)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.619 0.62)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.808 0.81)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.414 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.97 -0.97)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-1.16 -1.16)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-1.547 -1.55)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.724 -0.72)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.8 -0.8)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.64%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Rosario

San Lorenzo
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Rosario Central
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
San Lorenzo
1-1
Rosario
Gattoni (79')
Maroni (13'), Gattoni (44'), Zapata (73'), Hernandez (89')
Malcorra (75')
Ortiz (6'), Blanco (26'), Mac Allister (39'), Malcorra (74')
Sep 20, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
San Lorenzo
Martinez (86')
Ojeda (45'), Martinez (86')

Gordillo (16'), Peruzzi (45+1')
May 13, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
San Lorenzo
1-2
Rosario
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Rosario
2-0
San Lorenzo
Ezequiel Almada (11'), Gamba (81')
Apr 2, 2021 11pm
First Phase
San Lorenzo
2-0
Rosario
Di Santo (37'), Romero (90+13')
Melano (64'), Rosane (70'), Sabella (90+10')

Tanlongo (35'), Avila (43'), Blanco (75'), Vecchio (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+10')
Vecchio (90+10'), Blanco (90+12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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