MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:21:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
Colon

de la Cruz (37'), Beltran (61')
Barco (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garces (19'), Abila (58'), Vega (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Colon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Colon

All competitions
Last Game: Colon 0-4 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-0 Colon

 Colon have not won any of their last five away matches and failed to score in four of them, while the champions-elect are on an eight-match winning streak at home and have kept six clean sheets during that run. With such contrasting forms, it is unsurprising that the hosts are the clear favourites coming into this match, and we expect that they will record a fairly straightforward win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 5.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.62%) and 3-0 (13.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawColon
81.27% (-0.197 -0.2) 13.63% (0.124 0.12) 5.1% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 33.04% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.238 -0.24)45.02% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.23 -0.23)67.38% (0.229 0.23)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (-0.104 -0.1)8.79% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.84% (-0.253 -0.25)30.16% (0.252 0.25)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.23% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)92.46% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 81.25%
    Colon 5.1%
    Draw 13.63%
River PlateDrawColon
2-0 @ 16.57% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 8.17% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.97% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 81.25%
1-1 @ 6.13% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 1.68% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.63%
0-1 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 5.1%

How you voted: River Plate vs Colon

River Plate
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Colon
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Colon
1-0
River Plate
Abila (72')
Acevedo (60')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
1-2
Colon
Suarez (90+1')
Rojas (28'), Vigo (42'), Carrascal (54')
Aliendro (3'), Goez (34')
Farias (9')
Piovi (14')
Apr 12, 2021 1am
First Phase
River Plate
3-2
Colon
Castro (32')
Oct 30, 2019 12.20am
Gameweek 11
River Plate
2-1
Colon
De La Cruz (53'), Borre (64')
Perez (25'), Martinez (30')
Martinez (80' og.)
Aliendro (40')
Oct 20, 2018 1.15am
Gameweek 9
Colon
1-0
River Plate
Bueno (76')
Lionel Fritzler (83')

Perez (63'), Borre (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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