Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento2 - 0Estudiantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Saturday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
We said: Sarmiento 1-1 Estudiantes
Sarmiento should have some momentum heading into this contest, but Estudiantes have reacted well when going behind recently, which is why we expect these teams to share the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Estudiantes |
27.38% ( -0.07) | 29.25% ( -0.07) | 43.36% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 41.97% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.72% ( 0.18) | 64.28% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.61% ( 0.13) | 83.38% ( -0.13) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.56% ( 0.04) | 40.43% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% ( 0.04) | 77.05% ( -0.03) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( 0.17) | 29.53% ( -0.17) |