MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:34:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Estudiantes

Lanus
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Moreno (46'), Bou (84')
Carrera (45+4'), Loaiza (73')
Bou (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mancuso (65')
Benedetti (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
Monday, May 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-1 Estudiantes

Lanus are a better team than their current record in the second phase may indicate, and we expect an even match, as the last 12 encounters between these two sides at Ciudad de Linus resulted in either a draw or a one-goal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawEstudiantes
48.57% (0.147 0.15) 26.88% (-0.1 -0.1) 24.56% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (0.323 0.32)58.1% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (0.255 0.25)78.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.212 0.21)24.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.3 0.3)58.26% (-0.296 -0.3)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (0.143 0.14)39.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.133 0.13)76.14% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 48.56%
    Estudiantes 24.56%
    Draw 26.88%
LanusDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Lanus vs Estudiantes

Lanus
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
Estudiantes
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lanus
1-2
Estudiantes
Munoz (22')
Soler (7'), Aguirre (25'), Pena Biafore (29'), Loaiza (77'), Bou (90')
Loaiza (86')
Carrillo (77', 90+6')
Romero (34')
Nov 27, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Estudiantes
1-1
Lanus
Boselli (26')
Nunez (90'), Gody (90')
Torres (43')
Perez (54')
Feb 13, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 3
Estudiantes
0-2
Lanus
Canale (45'), Troyansky (89')
Oct 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 24
Estudiantes
3-1
Lanus
Diaz (22', 40'), Boselli (75')
Sand (82')
Feb 19, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estudiantes
2-1
Lanus
Boselli (37' pen.), Diaz (74')
Del Prete (8'), Pellegrini (39')
Perez (87')
Manuel Lopez (62'), Bernabei (68'), Belmonte (69'), (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9Deportivo Riestra167361818024
10GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
11Boca Juniors155641915421
12BelgranoBelgrano155641919021
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Sarmiento153661115-415
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central15258619-1311


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