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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2023 at 12.30am UK
 

Sarmiento
0 - 2
River Plate


Garcia (5'), Mendez (48'), Melano (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beltran (7' pen.), Palavecino (74')
Aliendro (14'), Armani (82')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Godoy Cruz
Sunday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawRiver Plate
16.33% (-0.675 -0.68) 21.04% (0.203 0.2) 62.62% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-2.137 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (-2.107 -2.11)45.05% (2.107 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (-2.054 -2.05)67.4% (2.055 2.06)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-2.104 -2.1)40.71% (2.105 2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (-1.945 -1.95)77.29% (1.946 1.95)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.524 -0.52)13.79% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-1.047 -1.05)41.1% (1.046 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 16.33%
    River Plate 62.61%
    Draw 21.04%
SarmientoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 5.04% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 4.49% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.33%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.492 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.283 -0.28)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.77 0.77)
0-2 @ 11.01% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 7.28% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.54% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-4 @ 3.61% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-5 @ 1.43% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.61%

Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
River Plate
1-2
Sarmiento
Mammana (67')
Casco (27')
Mainero (31'), Andueza (45')
Mendez (25'), Meza (54'), Castro (82')
May 1, 2022 1.30am
Sarmiento
0-7
River Plate

Mancilla (6'), Chicco (78'), Mainero (85')
Pochettino (34'), Alvarez (35', 45', 63'), Fernandez (52'), Barco (60'), Simon (70')
Aug 30, 2021 11pm
Sarmiento
1-2
River Plate
Alanis (12')
Montoya (19'), Salvareschi (52'), Mancinelli (65')
Salvareschi (81')
Carrascal (34'), Perez (90+1')
Jeremias Fernandez (46'), Fontana (86'), Paradela (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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