Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 20, 2023 at 10.15pm UK
Sarmiento0 - 1San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 0-2 Sarmiento
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
30.1% ( 1.49) | 29.55% ( 0.59) | 40.35% ( -2.08) |
Both teams to score 42.45% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.68% ( -1.41) | 64.31% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.59% ( -1.01) | 83.41% ( 1.01) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0.4) | 38.23% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0.38) | 74.99% ( -0.39) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% ( -1.9) | 31.27% ( 1.9) |